Overall Red Tropical Cyclone alert for MELOR-15 Off-shore on 11 Dec 2015 12:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for MELOR-15

Off-shore

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MELOR-15 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries
Exposed population	730 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	250 km/h
Maximum storm surge	1 m (15 Dec 05:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	--

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	111 km/h	1.0 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	250 km/h	1.0 m	n.a.	2
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

111 km/h Current Max.

Up to 33.6 million people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert	N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
	1	11 Dec 2015 12:00	111	---	No people	Philippines

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	11 Dec 2015 12:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	9.4, 136.7
1	12 Dec 2015 00:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	11, 134.3
1	12 Dec 2015 12:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	12.2, 131.9
1	13 Dec 2015 00:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	12.9, 129.9
1	13 Dec 2015 12:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	4.1 million people	13.3, 128.1	Philippines
1	14 Dec 2015 12:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	8.4 million people	13.6, 124.8	Philippines
1	15 Dec 2015 12:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	31.7 million people	13.8, 122.8	Philippines
1	16 Dec 2015 12:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	13.9, 121.2	Philippines

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

Download:

Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Provinces

Country	Region Province
Philippines	National Capital Region
Philippines	Bicol
Philippines	Southern Tagalog
Philippines	Central Luzon
Philippines	Eastern Visayas

Populated places

Name	Region Province	Country	City class	Population
Malolos	Central Luzon	Philippines	City	200000 people
Silang	Southern Tagalog	Philippines	City	120000 people
Naga	Bicol	Philippines	City	140000 people
Lipa	Southern Tagalog	Philippines	City	210000 people
Taytay	Southern Tagalog	Philippines	City	230000 people
Meycauayan	Central Luzon	Philippines	City	180000 people
Santa Rosa	Southern Tagalog	Philippines	City	2700 people
Calamba	Southern Tagalog	Philippines	City	310000 people
Imus	Southern Tagalog	Philippines	City	210000 people
Baliuag	Central Luzon	Philippines	City	130000 people
Bulan	Bicol	Philippines	City	28000 people
Lucena	Southern Tagalog	Philippines	City	230000 people
Binãn	Southern Tagalog	Philippines	City	200000 people
San Mateo	Southern Tagalog	Philippines	City	130000 people
Manila	National Capital Region	Philippines	Capital	no people
Cavite	Cavite City	Philippines	City	120000 people
San Pablo	Southern Tagalog	Philippines	City	200000 people
Quezon City	National Capital Region	Philippines	Major city	1.7 million people
Santa Cruz	Southern Tagalog	Philippines	City	110000 people
Batangas	Southern Tagalog	Philippines	City	240000 people
Hagonoy	Central Luzon	Philippines	City	120000 people
Calbayog	Eastern Visayas	Philippines	City	68000 people
Pulilan	Central Luzon	Philippines	City	76000 people
Antipolo	Southern Tagalog	Philippines	City	540000 people
Binangonan	Southern Tagalog	Philippines	City	220000 people
Naic	Southern Tagalog	Philippines	City	55000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

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StormSurge

1 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 1.0m in Barceloneta, Philippines. This height is estimated for 15 Dec 2015 05:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (213 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 1 of 11 Dec 2015 12:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	15 Dec 2015 05:00	Barceloneta	Philippines	1.0
	15 Dec 2015 05:00	Magtang	Philippines	0.6
	15 Dec 2015 05:00	Lamon	Philippines	0.6
	15 Dec 2015 05:00	Union	Philippines	0.6
	15 Dec 2015 05:00	Tinambac	Philippines	0.6
	15 Dec 2015 06:00	Mandao	Philippines	0.6
	15 Dec 2015 12:00	Talingting	Philippines	0.6
	15 Dec 2015 12:00	Apad Lutao	Philippines	0.5
	15 Dec 2015 12:00	Capuluan	Philippines	0.5
	15 Dec 2015 12:00	Amontay	Philippines	0.5
	14 Dec 2015 21:00	Bikal	Philippines	0.5
	15 Dec 2015 07:00	Barana	Philippines	0.5
	15 Dec 2015 09:00	Mambongalon	Philippines	0.5
	14 Dec 2015 21:00	Bagas	Philippines	0.4
	15 Dec 2015 09:00	Tagontong	Philippines	0.4
	14 Dec 2015 23:00	Garchitorena	Philippines	0.4
	15 Dec 2015 05:00	Miguel	Philippines	0.4
	15 Dec 2015 01:00	Mapid	Philippines	0.4
	15 Dec 2015 12:00	Calauag	Philippines	0.4
	15 Dec 2015 04:00	San Vicente	Philippines	0.4
	15 Dec 2015 01:00	Balaton	Philippines	0.4
	15 Dec 2015 07:00	Daet	Philippines	0.4
	15 Dec 2015 08:00	Talaga	Philippines	0.4
	15 Dec 2015 12:00	Calaguikhik	Philippines	0.4
	14 Dec 2015 21:00	Caramoan	Philippines	0.4
	15 Dec 2015 12:00	Pag-aguasan	Philippines	0.4
	15 Dec 2015 12:00	Lopez	Philippines	0.4
	15 Dec 2015 08:00	Vinzons	Philippines	0.4
	15 Dec 2015 12:00	Pangas	Philippines	0.3
	15 Dec 2015 12:00	Cabag	Philippines	0.3
	15 Dec 2015 09:00	Cagotaw	Philippines	0.3
	15 Dec 2015 03:00	Gongonan	Philippines	0.3
	15 Dec 2015 12:00	Argosino	Philippines	0.3
	14 Dec 2015 20:00	Sialat	Philippines	0.3
	15 Dec 2015 04:00	Tandoc	Philippines	0.3
	15 Dec 2015 11:00	Paracale	Philippines	0.3
	14 Dec 2015 21:00	Pandanan	Philippines	0.3
	14 Dec 2015 20:00	Colongcogong	Philippines	0.3
	15 Dec 2015 12:00	Gumaca	Philippines	0.3
	14 Dec 2015 20:00	Manambrag	Philippines	0.3
	15 Dec 2015 12:00	Mactang	Philippines	0.3
	15 Dec 2015 12:00	Panukulan	Philippines	0.3
	14 Dec 2015 20:00	Gitoma	Philippines	0.3
	15 Dec 2015 12:00	Concepcion	Philippines	0.3
	15 Dec 2015 12:00	Binauangan	Philippines	0.3
	15 Dec 2015 12:00	Capalonga	Philippines	0.3
	15 Dec 2015 12:00	Atimonan	Philippines	0.3
	15 Dec 2015 12:00	Apad	Philippines	0.3
	15 Dec 2015 09:00	Magallanes	Philippines	0.3
	14 Dec 2015 10:00	Wright	Philippines	0.3
	15 Dec 2015 12:00	Mascarina	Philippines	0.3
	15 Dec 2015 10:00	Bahao	Philippines	0.3
	15 Dec 2015 10:00	Binobon	Philippines	0.3
	15 Dec 2015 10:00	Binahian	Philippines	0.3
	14 Dec 2015 10:00	Pequit	Philippines	0.3
	14 Dec 2015 10:00	Pabanong	Philippines	0.3
	15 Dec 2015 12:00	Alabat	Philippines	0.2
	15 Dec 2015 11:00	Jose Panganiban	Philippines	0.2
	14 Dec 2015 09:00	Hinabangan	Philippines	0.2
	14 Dec 2015 16:00	Abihao	Philippines	0.2
	15 Dec 2015 08:00	Banacboc	Philippines	0.2
	15 Dec 2015 12:00	San Jose	Philippines	0.2
	14 Dec 2015 10:00	Bangon	Philippines	0.2
	15 Dec 2015 12:00	Perez	Philippines	0.2
	15 Dec 2015 12:00	Cavilla	Philippines	0.2
	15 Dec 2015 08:00	Borongan	Philippines	0.2
	15 Dec 2015 12:00	Mauban	Philippines	0.2
	15 Dec 2015 12:00	Calumpang	Philippines	0.2
	15 Dec 2015 12:00	Bagasacay	Philippines	0.2
	15 Dec 2015 12:00	San Narciso	Philippines	0.2
	15 Dec 2015 12:00	Mulanay	Philippines	0.2
	15 Dec 2015 12:00	Tagkawayan	Philippines	0.2
	14 Dec 2015 22:00	Guijalo	Philippines	0.2
	15 Dec 2015 05:00	Cavayan	Philippines	0.2
	14 Dec 2015 16:00	Bagalay	Philippines	0.2
	15 Dec 2015 05:00	Malbug	Philippines	0.2
	15 Dec 2015 05:00	Labigan	Philippines	0.2
	15 Dec 2015 12:00	Caluekan	Philippines	0.2
	15 Dec 2015 12:00	Calamias	Philippines	0.2
	15 Dec 2015 12:00	Liboro	Philippines	0.2
	14 Dec 2015 22:00	Bitaogan	Philippines	0.2
	15 Dec 2015 08:00	Guiom	Philippines	0.2
	15 Dec 2015 09:00	Alayao	Philippines	0.2
	15 Dec 2015 12:00	Bangad	Philippines	0.2
	15 Dec 2015 12:00	Binibitinan	Philippines	0.2
	15 Dec 2015 12:00	Manolib	Philippines	0.2
	15 Dec 2015 12:00	Aran	Philippines	0.2
	14 Dec 2015 10:00	Mualbual	Philippines	0.2
	14 Dec 2015 23:00	Calolbon	Philippines	0.2
	14 Dec 2015 20:00	Virac	Philippines	0.2
	15 Dec 2015 11:00	Pasacao	Philippines	0.2
	15 Dec 2015 03:00	Adiagnao	Philippines	0.2
	15 Dec 2015 12:00	Bisliang	Philippines	0.2
	15 Dec 2015 03:00	Sagnay	Philippines	0.2
	15 Dec 2015 12:00	Labayat	Philippines	0.2
	15 Dec 2015 12:00	Jomalig	Philippines	0.2
	15 Dec 2015 10:00	Mainit	Philippines	0.2
	15 Dec 2015 12:00	Fundado	Philippines	0.2
	15 Dec 2015 12:00	Kanmansad	Philippines	0.2
	15 Dec 2015 04:00	Pangpang	Philippines	0.2
	15 Dec 2015 06:00	Macalaya	Philippines	0.2
	15 Dec 2015 12:00	Patnanongan	Philippines	0.2
	15 Dec 2015 12:00	Hiwasayan	Philippines	0.2
	15 Dec 2015 03:00	Tenagbac	Philippines	0.2
	14 Dec 2015 11:00	Bantayan	Philippines	0.2
	14 Dec 2015 22:00	Magnesia	Philippines	0.2
	15 Dec 2015 12:00	Ngalan	Philippines	0.2
	15 Dec 2015 12:00	Calutcot	Philippines	0.2
	15 Dec 2015 11:00	Caorasan	Philippines	0.2
	15 Dec 2015 11:00	Balatan	Philippines	0.2
	15 Dec 2015 12:00	Catabanga	Philippines	0.2
	14 Dec 2015 09:00	Pambujan	Philippines	0.2
	15 Dec 2015 12:00	Payte	Philippines	0.2
	14 Dec 2015 10:00	Catbalogan	Philippines	0.1
	14 Dec 2015 01:00	San Andres	Philippines	0.1
	14 Dec 2015 18:00	Pandan	Philippines	0.1
	15 Dec 2015 07:00	Placer	Philippines	0.1
	15 Dec 2015 07:00	Daraga	Philippines	0.1
	14 Dec 2015 17:00	Panganiban	Philippines	0.1
	15 Dec 2015 02:00	Tiwi	Philippines	0.1
	15 Dec 2015 12:00	Real	Philippines	0.1
	15 Dec 2015 12:00	Dancalan	Philippines	0.1
	15 Dec 2015 09:00	Gampongan	Philippines	0.1
	15 Dec 2015 12:00	Bahay	Philippines	0.1
	15 Dec 2015 03:00	Guiangra	Philippines	0.1
	15 Dec 2015 11:00	San Antonio	Philippines	0.1
	15 Dec 2015 04:00	Domorog	Philippines	0.1
	15 Dec 2015 12:00	Polillo	Philippines	0.1
	15 Dec 2015 12:00	Abucay	Philippines	0.1
	15 Dec 2015 12:00	Cabungalunan	Philippines	0.1
	14 Dec 2015 08:00	Laoang	Philippines	0.1
	15 Dec 2015 02:00	Biten	Philippines	0.1
	14 Dec 2015 10:00	Babatngon	Philippines	0.1
	14 Dec 2015 07:00	Bagacay	Philippines	0.1
	14 Dec 2015 05:00	Guintampilan	Philippines	0.1
	14 Dec 2015 04:00	Tatabunan	Philippines	0.1
	14 Dec 2015 07:00	Macalonud	Philippines	0.1
	14 Dec 2015 04:00	Narombacan	Philippines	0.1
	15 Dec 2015 09:00	Lo-oc	Philippines	0.1
	15 Dec 2015 00:00	Sagorong	Philippines	0.1
	15 Dec 2015 12:00	San Andres	Philippines	0.1
	15 Dec 2015 12:00	Buenavista	Philippines	0.1
	15 Dec 2015 04:00	Alegria	Philippines	0.1
	14 Dec 2015 10:00	Cabadiangan	Philippines	0.1
	15 Dec 2015 05:00	Pinagsalog	Philippines	0.1
	14 Dec 2015 11:00	Culaba	Philippines	0.1
	14 Dec 2015 11:00	Tabojab	Philippines	0.1
	14 Dec 2015 11:00	Caibiran	Philippines	0.1
	14 Dec 2015 16:00	San Vicente	Philippines	0.1
	14 Dec 2015 16:00	Pagsanjan	Philippines	0.1
	14 Dec 2015 10:00	Paet	Philippines	0.1
	14 Dec 2015 09:00	Daram	Philippines	0.1
	14 Dec 2015 14:00	Bahay	Philippines	0.1
	14 Dec 2015 11:00	Igot	Philippines	0.1
	15 Dec 2015 12:00	Pulupandan	Philippines	0.1
	14 Dec 2015 16:00	Linao	Philippines	0.1
	15 Dec 2015 12:00	Barra	Philippines	0.1
	14 Dec 2015 17:00	Rapu Rapu	Philippines	0.1
	15 Dec 2015 12:00	Kandamal	Philippines	0.1
	14 Dec 2015 22:00	Pili	Philippines	0.1
	14 Dec 2015 20:00	Gaba	Philippines	0.1
	14 Dec 2015 22:00	Malilipot	Philippines	0.1
	14 Dec 2015 22:00	Libog	Philippines	0.1
	15 Dec 2015 12:00	Panguiranan	Philippines	0.1
	15 Dec 2015 12:00	Infanta	Philippines	0.1
	15 Dec 2015 12:00	Palani	Philippines	0.1
	15 Dec 2015 12:00	Toos	Philippines	0.1
	15 Dec 2015 12:00	Gapus	Philippines	0.1
	15 Dec 2015 12:00	Mandaon	Philippines	0.1
	15 Dec 2015 12:00	Asid	Philippines	0.1
	15 Dec 2015 12:00	Mangero	Philippines	0.1
	14 Dec 2015 16:00	Santa Margarita	Philippines	0.1
	14 Dec 2015 16:00	Balud	Philippines	0.1
	15 Dec 2015 01:00	Danao	Philippines	0.1
	15 Dec 2015 06:00	Donsol	Philippines	0.1
	15 Dec 2015 06:00	Dancalan	Philippines	0.1
	14 Dec 2015 14:00	Silanga	Philippines	0.1
	14 Dec 2015 11:00	Capitun-an	Philippines	0.1
	14 Dec 2015 11:00	Rizal	Philippines	0.1
	15 Dec 2015 12:00	Valencia	Philippines	0.1
	15 Dec 2015 12:00	Sum-ag	Philippines	0.1
	15 Dec 2015 12:00	Bacolod	Philippines	0.1
	15 Dec 2015 12:00	Barcelona	Philippines	0.1
	15 Dec 2015 02:00	Capul	Philippines	0.1
	15 Dec 2015 10:00	Malobago	Philippines	0.1
	15 Dec 2015 10:00	Cataingan	Philippines	0.1
	15 Dec 2015 02:00	Lamaoan	Philippines	0.1
	15 Dec 2015 02:00	Allen	Philippines	0.1
	15 Dec 2015 02:00	Lavezares	Philippines	0.1
	15 Dec 2015 02:00	Casiguran	Philippines	0.1
	15 Dec 2015 02:00	Bogtong	Philippines	0.1
	15 Dec 2015 02:00	San Isidro	Philippines	0.1
	15 Dec 2015 02:00	San Rafael	Philippines	0.1
	15 Dec 2015 02:00	Bulusan	Philippines	0.1
	15 Dec 2015 02:00	Beri	Philippines	0.1
	15 Dec 2015 02:00	Apis	Philippines	0.1
	15 Dec 2015 02:00	San Jose	Philippines	0.1
	14 Dec 2015 22:00	Bina Francia	Philippines	0.1
	14 Dec 2015 20:00	Osiao	Philippines	0.1
	14 Dec 2015 20:00	Manito	Philippines	0.1
	15 Dec 2015 12:00	Alobijod	Philippines	0.1
	15 Dec 2015 12:00	Panobolon	Philippines	0.1
	15 Dec 2015 12:00	Calaya	Philippines	0.1
	15 Dec 2015 12:00	Hinigaran	Philippines	0.1
	15 Dec 2015 12:00	Pontevedra	Philippines	0.1
	15 Dec 2015 12:00	Madanlog	Philippines	0.1
	15 Dec 2015 12:00	San Pascual	Philippines	0.1
	15 Dec 2015 12:00	Bondoc Pt	Philippines	0.1
	15 Dec 2015 12:00	Aurora	Philippines	0.1
	15 Dec 2015 12:00	Bongalonan	Philippines	0.1
	14 Dec 2015 18:00	Calbayog	Philippines	0.1
	15 Dec 2015 12:00	Santa Cruz	Philippines	0.1
	15 Dec 2015 12:00	Datingbayan	Philippines	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.